1. Ralph Nader announced that he is running again for President. When asked if this might not harm the chances of the Democratic candidate (as it is widely believed it did in the close election of 2000), Nader's response was something like: if the Democrats can't win in 2008, they should fold up their tents and disband. Part of me agrees with this.
2. An LATimes poll came out showing McCain leading both Obama and Clinton in head-to-head matchups. Part of me agrees with this.
I find these both hard to believe...and yet believable...both at the same time.
When I think about it further, these are the things that lead me to believe that McCain could win:
- Americans want a reasurring father figure, especially in a time of uncertainty.
- The war continues, and McCain will emphasize his undoubted and personal experience with war.
- The war becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy...we got into a war we don't need, and now we need a war hero to make sure it goes our way (continues with no end in sight).
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